Will Kensei Hirata make the cut for Charles Schwab Challenge
Kensei Hirata is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 52¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.
Price history
48¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Kensei Hirata has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kensei Hirata
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Ludvig Aberg 57¢
Range
1¢-57¢
Family volume
$43K
Identifier
KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-KHIR
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
52¢
24h volume
$5
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Family volume
$43K
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 79¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kensei Hirata has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-KHIR
Event family
Charles Schwab Challenge.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$43K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ludvig Aberg 57¢
Current share
0%
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-LABE
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-JTHO
Tom Hoge
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-THOG
Mac Meissner
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-MMEI
Erik Van Rooyen
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-EVAN
Joe Highsmith
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-JHIG
Mark Hubbard
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-MHUB
Hayden Springer
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-HSPR
Kensei Hirata
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-KHIR
Ryan Palmer
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-RPAL
Paul Peterson
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-PPET
Max Greyserman
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-MGRE
Mason Howell
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-MHOW
Neal Shipley
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-NSHI
Emiliano Grillo
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-EGRI
Brandt Snedeker
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-BSNE
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.