San Francisco wins first 5 innings to win Chicago WS vs San Francisco first 5 innings
San Francisco wins first 5 innings is priced at 43¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Chicago WS vs San Francisco first 5 innings winner.
Price history
43¢ current
+41¢Contract brief
If San Francisco wins the first 5 innings of the Chicago WS vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
San Francisco wins first 5 innings
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
San Francisco wins first 5 innings 42¢
Range
14¢-42¢
Family volume
$84
Identifier
KXMLBF5-26MAY241605CWSSF-SF
May 24, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Chicago WS vs San Francisco first 5 innings winner
Closes
May 27, 2026
Family volume
$84
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If San Francisco wins the first 5 innings of the Chicago WS vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 27, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBF5-26MAY241605CWSSF-SF
Event family
Chicago WS vs San Francisco first 5 innings winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$84
Outcomes
3
Highest price
San Francisco wins first 5 innings 42¢
Current share
0%
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.