What is the current probability for "Cincinnati at Chicago Fire: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 17, 2026. 19 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Cincinnati at Chicago Fire: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 429.4% and 8910.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Cincinnati at Chicago Fire: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Cincinnati at Chicago Fire: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Cincinnati at Chicago Fire: Totals. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026.

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85¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/88¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 17, 2026·19d remaining

KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY02CHICIN-1

7-day price12 snapshots · 38 regime

82¢82¢ current

Apr 2676¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Cincinnati and Chicago Fire collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 429.4%

IY (No) 8910.4%

Adj IY 4129%

CRI 5

Overround 1.1%

LAS 0.07

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	429.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	8910.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4129%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	1.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.07	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

6¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 8:53:16 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 8:38:26 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY02CHICIN-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →