Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-22?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $253.5k open interest and a massive 30¢ spread, suggesting the quoted 54¢ price may not reflect true consensus with only 4 days to expiry. The astronomical implied yields (8372% for Yes, 12507% for No) and 879% realized volatility indicate severe mispricing or technical dysfunction rather than genuine market opportunity. The neutral regime and high info arrival rate (0.8/h) suggest the market is actively pricing in new information ahead of the April 22 match, but the complete absence of trading activity raises questions about whether this contract is effectively dead or experiencing a data anomaly.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Club Blooming wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade