Will Club Blooming vs. CA Nacional Potosí end in a draw?

Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Will Club Blooming vs. CA Nacional Potosí end in a draw?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market shows extreme distress signals with zero 24-hour volume despite $182.77k open interest and a massive 26¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting severe liquidity constraints just 4 days before resolution.

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20¢
Bid/Ask 19/21¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $183.67·OI $4,012.965·Closes Apr 23, 2026·0d remaining
0x0a0ea9722a07086255c45606c763d2a17cf475e5625f9e567f4bb498ed709d46
7-day price124 snapshots · 5 regime
36¢20¢ current
Apr 1818¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This market shows extreme distress signals with zero 24-hour volume despite $182.77k open interest and a massive 26¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting severe liquidity constraints just 4 days before resolution. The implied yield metrics are nonsensical (34,257% for Yes, 3,056% for No), indicating the pricing is likely broken or based on stale data rather than genuine market consensus. With realized volatility at 2,601% and a Cliff Risk Index of 3, this appears to be a dead or manipulated market that should be approached with extreme caution.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Adj IY 52000%
CRI 4
RV 752%
VR 0.16
IAR 0.9/h
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
Adj IY52000%
CRI4
RV752%
VR0.16
IAR0.9/h
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 3:35:16 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 3:23:24 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0a0ea9722a07086255c45606c763d2a17cf475e5625f9e567f4bb498ed709d46 yes 100

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