Spread: Bamin Real Potosí (-1.5)
This contract is priced at 16¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 23¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$1
Best sibling
O/U 3.5 48¢
Ticker
0x3a425e1a…09fb
Market snapshot
Bamin Real Potosí (-1.5) in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Spread: Bamin Real Potosí (-1.5). The displayed quote is 16¢ from the latest venue quote. In the Club The Strongest vs. Bamin Real Potosí - More Markets family, this outcome ranks #8 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Bamin Real Potosí (-1.5)
Family rank
#8 of 9
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
16¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 10, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
9 outcomes · Club The Strongest vs. Bamin Real Potosí - More Markets
Quote range
9¢-82¢
Family leader
O/U 1.5 82¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: 0x3a425e1a45ed7fd0c26c9400f3257ea800ad8041945190ecbde2884d742d09fb. Family volume: $1.
Price history
16¢ current
−12¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 28¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for May 10 at 5:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bamin Real Potosí" if Bamin Real Potosí win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Club The Strongest". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on lfpb.com.bo. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 10, 2026
Identifier
0x3a425e1a…09fb
Event family
Club The Strongest vs. Bamin Real Potosí - More Markets.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
9
Highest price
O/U 1.5 82¢
Current share
0%
Bamin Real Potosí (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x3a425e1a45ed7fd0c26c9400f3257ea800ad8041945190ecbde2884d742d09fb
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0x283e3358bdcabb77714ee5826efa4883362c96227ca42068eeab0994583225c6
Club The Strongest (-2.5)
polymarket · 0x68f8b11364590e4b183e5e0987124e23e8c94d249067f494c1e815db406e2c59
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0x5f74591bfd7a3f8aee5675af7eac817750558eb041f8bb12e7d2f4849f4fcd98
Bamin Real Potosí (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xda5e62fabf69a9ba789a477251fd77adf680311a5f5891cf2ed3d450537fb1b7
Club The Strongest (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xed5fdfe7cd065485f3443bda5225061a615313476c92fca352bc5b8d4f715a5b
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0x1b3fd241ac8850e6cdf3e36e73ea9fd9b9ba2ff74a485534f50addef537d299b
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0x632e24a8dc28885d7992e6072ee8b33667adc8e7bfcc0018effc756d3ccb71ef
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0x0e201d1db80afb27e971b16359b2947886bdcbb39d2248481a1e29316200c892
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook
Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 16% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.