SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 2026

Will John Szemler be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

This contract is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

0¢
$1K volume
$4K liquidity
6% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$20K

Best sibling

Manny Rutinel 81¢

Ticker

0xdee50460…3562

Market snapshot

John Szemler in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will John Szemler be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?. The displayed quote is 0¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #5 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:25 AM UTC.

Outcome

John Szemler

Family rank

#5 of 6

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

6 outcomes · CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-81¢

Family leader

Manny Rutinel 81¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:25 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0xdee5046074c22b6a43e8c8fafafe6686f972ff9d8517a99e336d002121b93562. Family volume: $20K.

Price history

0¢ current

50¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 28, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
0¢3.8K
AskSize
0¢23
0¢214
2¢40
3¢276
4¢28
4¢30
8¢100
8¢150

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0xdee50460…3562

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index