What is the current probability for "Columbus vs Philadelphia Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 24¢ (24% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 9, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Columbus vs Philadelphia Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 8712.7% and 777.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Columbus vs Philadelphia Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Columbus vs Philadelphia Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that Columbus vs Philadelphia Winner?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market exhibits severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite an 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in this MLS matchup.

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24¢

Bid/Ask 23/24¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $806.75·OI $844.7·Closes May 9, 2026·14d remaining

KXMLSGAME-26APR25CLBPHI-PHI

7-day price153 snapshots · 6 regime

24¢23¢ current

Apr 185¢Apr 25

Analysis

7d ago

This market exhibits severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite an 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in this MLS matchup. The 0¢ Yes price implies Columbus is heavily favored or the market is essentially inactive, yet the astronomical 9096% implied yield on Yes contracts indicates extreme mispricing—likely a symptom of the zero liquidity rather than genuine opportunity. With only 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 5, any execution would face substantial slippage, making this contract effectively untradeable at posted prices.

Resolution rules

If Philadelphia wins the Columbus vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 8712.7%

IY (No) 777.4%

Adj IY 4356%

CRI 3

Overround -0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	8712.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	777.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4356%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/25/2026, 10:57:05 PM

Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 10:53:50 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25CLBPHI-PHI yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →