Columbus vs Philadelphia Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 26% probability that Columbus vs Philadelphia Winner?. This contract trades at 26¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market exhibits severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 9¢ bid-ask spread and an extraordinary 6926.7% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market exhibits severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 9¢ bid-ask spread and an extraordinary 6926.7% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus. The resolution criteria appear problematic—the market is structured to resolve Yes only on a tie outcome in a specific MLS match, yet the original April 25, 2026 date has apparently passed without resolution, creating ambiguity about whether the game occurred or was rescheduled. With only 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this market faces imminent deadline pressure and should be approached with extreme caution given the combination of zero liquidity, unusual payout structure, and potential resolution complications.
Resolution rules
If Tie wins the Columbus vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25CLBPHI-TIE yes 100