SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 20269 days left

CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?

This contract is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

27¢
$67K volume
$37K liquidity
488% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$14K

Best sibling

Exactly 3.3% 1¢

Ticker

KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26APR-T3.8

Price history

27¢ current

+19¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 28¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
27¢2.3K
26¢9.0K
25¢2.0K
24¢2.0K
18¢1
AskSize
28¢1.2K
29¢3.4K
30¢4.9K
31¢200
32¢5

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 3.8% in Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26APR-T3.8

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11193.9%

IY (No)

1531.3%

Adj IY

5390%

CRI

3

Overround

0.1%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

11193.9%
1531.3%
Adj IY
5390%
3
Overround
0.1%
LAS
0.04

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