Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?
This contract is priced at 41¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 32¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 17¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$8K
Best sibling
Luke Bronin 47¢
Ticker
0x5ffc4b09…26b9
Market snapshot
John Larson in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?. The displayed quote is 41¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $651. In the CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
John Larson
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
41¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Aug 11, 2026
Reported volume
$651
Family context
5 outcomes · CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
2¢-47¢
Family leader
Luke Bronin 47¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0x5ffc4b0998e7e63eecf817ac89a9ee4b4c1276452b5e7d4a628ad6b9d0f026b9. Family volume: $8K.
Price history
41¢ current
+6¢Orderbook snapshot
32 / 49¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 11, 2026
Identifier
0x5ffc4b09…26b9
Event family
CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Luke Bronin 47¢
Current share
8%
John Larson
polymarket · 0x5ffc4b0998e7e63eecf817ac89a9ee4b4c1276452b5e7d4a628ad6b9d0f026b9
Luke Bronin
polymarket · 0x14710adfa9ca2f0450c1710d0080b67d73d6779c0d62df497c6d40f2eba870dd
Jillian Gilchrest
polymarket · 0x208c15b7465c469f7a50bd9a9525192408406c088f5bafb1ff18abca8cb5d375
Mark Stewart Greenstein
polymarket · 0x556ccfabc145d9e46e2efd9d7bdb48a9209e8d942ab3841eca47dde7352a6b0e
Ruth Fortune
polymarket · 0xa8e0b798fe68798527a0fb4ad42fb47b367b4c7e80e3f1df26dc9551bc8a86aa
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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