Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5

Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5. This contract trades at 30¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $45.5K open interest, and the 56¢ spread between bid-ask is dangerously wide for a binary contract.

████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
30¢
Bid/Ask 28/32¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $3,333.984·Closes Apr 23, 2026·0d remaining
0x2598f8646d3d435a51641ee50126818be9049a32f115184028ea7f5c8e67e9dd
7-day price85 snapshots · 3 regime
46¢30¢ current
Apr 1327¢Apr 22

Analysis

6d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $45.5K open interest, and the 56¢ spread between bid-ask is dangerously wide for a binary contract. The 39¢ price has declined 6¢ over 7 days, but the astronomical 8425% implied yield on the "No" side combined with 505% realized volatility suggests the market may be mispriced or suffering from low-confidence pricing rather than genuine edge. With only 7 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this appears to be a low-conviction market where traders should be cautious of execution risk.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Damac Saudi Club and Al Okhdood SC, scheduled for April 23 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Damac Saudi Club and Al Okhdood SC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Adj IY 26667%
CRI 2
RV 403%
VR 0.08
IAR 0.6/h
Overround 1.8%
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
Adj IY26667%
CRI2
RV403%
VR0.08
IAR0.6/h
Overround1.8%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 3:40:52 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 3:38:24 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x2598f8646d3d435a51641ee50126818be9049a32f115184028ea7f5c8e67e9dd yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions