Denmark (-1.5) for Spread
Denmark (-1.5) is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 42¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets.
Price history
28¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 7 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Denmark" if Denmark win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Outcome
Denmark (-1.5)
Rank
#5 of 11
Leader
O/U 0.5 94¢
Range
7¢-94¢
Family volume
$1.5M
Identifier
0xd532bf2f...7d6c
Jun 8, 2026, 12:22 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
48¢
Spread
42¢
24h volume
$15K
Family rank
#5 of 11
11 outcomes · Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Family volume
$1.5M
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 48¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 7 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Denmark" if Denmark win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Identifier
0xd532bf2f…7d6c
Event family
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1.5M
Outcomes
11
Highest price
O/U 0.5 94¢
Current share
1%
O/U 0.5
polymarket · 0x0a37f80f29163ab485b30b039822e6c8e5ff8ec892a851820ba8937d87f49905
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0x2a6b774b98f78dcacffb0212f94a1a28d30bf452071874292fa61f6016c54f32
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0xf56ebdd21c0479428c6f4de88b13c6e798777728aa141edeb0f091a384855629
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0x3ab3e07d64689c9589a3cc0d1a33d24acdadfcca6cc44a84b9d2c37b797f2afa
Denmark (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xd532bf2fead1732d8dcde24f0d51bd9f0f4b8f0ebc016688ffcebba4a32a7d6c
Ukraine (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xe16aad1f9ce462025003abe1f150537a792f2afd113081e375f90cb8e66f5699
Ukraine (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xa28a6cc029f576cb01d4d5751d79b1f5661259eca7064a93dc7ba32ba7533f0b
Denmark (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xc8767cfa389cf9be04642f7f1f1fa0b374af26240d8891ba03549df1b6018669
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0x3617e1b1c8f57b3feb7a128f8ac6add7b8d313ac650de28a414bdb55133e06c1
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0x335586420656eed924ecad31ad2c080e850f63c5809b508377329b832791c073
O/U 5.5
polymarket · 0x3dc6afd5adb9616cb36f6ca01f19080b559ad72ab77b347f18ebf22239fa7e57
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook
Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.
How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis
Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 28% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.