Denmark (-2.5) for Spread
Denmark (-2.5) is priced at 34¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 19¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 11 inside Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets.
Price history
34¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 7 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Denmark" if Denmark win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Outcome
Denmark (-2.5)
Rank
#7 of 11
Leader
O/U 1.5 94¢
Range
7¢-94¢
Family volume
$1.5M
Identifier
0xc8767cfa...8669
Jun 7, 2026, 9:58 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
30¢
24h volume
$6K
Family rank
#7 of 11
11 outcomes · Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Family volume
$1.5M
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 49¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 7 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Denmark" if Denmark win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Identifier
0xc8767cfa…8669
Event family
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1.5M
Outcomes
11
Highest price
O/U 1.5 94¢
Current share
0%
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0xf56ebdd21c0479428c6f4de88b13c6e798777728aa141edeb0f091a384855629
O/U 0.5
polymarket · 0x0a37f80f29163ab485b30b039822e6c8e5ff8ec892a851820ba8937d87f49905
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0x2a6b774b98f78dcacffb0212f94a1a28d30bf452071874292fa61f6016c54f32
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0x3ab3e07d64689c9589a3cc0d1a33d24acdadfcca6cc44a84b9d2c37b797f2afa
Denmark (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xd532bf2fead1732d8dcde24f0d51bd9f0f4b8f0ebc016688ffcebba4a32a7d6c
Ukraine (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xe16aad1f9ce462025003abe1f150537a792f2afd113081e375f90cb8e66f5699
Ukraine (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xa28a6cc029f576cb01d4d5751d79b1f5661259eca7064a93dc7ba32ba7533f0b
Denmark (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xc8767cfa389cf9be04642f7f1f1fa0b374af26240d8891ba03549df1b6018669
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0x335586420656eed924ecad31ad2c080e850f63c5809b508377329b832791c073
O/U 5.5
polymarket · 0x3dc6afd5adb9616cb36f6ca01f19080b559ad72ab77b347f18ebf22239fa7e57
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0x3617e1b1c8f57b3feb7a128f8ac6add7b8d313ac650de28a414bdb55133e06c1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.