Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets
Leader sits at 93% across 10 bound outcomes, runner-up at 72%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 0.5
Outcomes
10
winner-take-all
Runner-up
72¢
O/U 1.5
Spread
21pp
contested
24h volume
$3K
modest
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
10 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: O/U 5.5
0x3dc6af…7e57
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x3617e1…06c1
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x335586…c073
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: Ukraine (-1.5)
0xa28a6c…3f0b
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: Denmark (-1.5)
0xd532bf…7d6c
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xf56ebd…5629
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: Denmark (-2.5)
0xc8767c…8669
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x3ab3e0…2afa
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: O/U 0.5
0x0a37f8…9905
Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2a6b77…4f32
Analysis
This market reflects the odds that both Denmark and Ukraine will score in their matchup, currently priced at 49 percent based on aggregated trading activity. The probability suggests traders view a both-teams-to-score outcome as moderately likely but slightly less probable than alternative results. The level reflects typical team performance metrics and defensive capabilities—stronger defenses would lower the probability, while defensive vulnerabilities or attacking prowess would increase it. The match outcome will be determined when the fixture is played, resolving whether both teams successfully score in regular time. Key considerations include recent goal-scoring trends for each team, injury status of key attacking and defensive players, and historical head-to-head performance in similar matchups.
- ›Recent both-teams-to-score frequency in Denmark's matches versus their defensive record
- ›Ukraine's current attacking output and conversion efficiency relative to their opposition
- ›Defensive injury status for both teams, particularly among key back-line players
- ›Historical goals-per-game averages in direct Denmark-Ukraine encounters
- ›Current form and momentum in attacking play for both squads entering the fixture
What moved the line
- Jun 7O/U 2.5↑30pp47→77¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 8Both Teams to Score↑24pp68→92¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 7Both Teams to Score↑20pp48→68¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 8O/U 2.5↑19pp77→96¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 7Ukraine (-1.5)↑11pp5→16¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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