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Narendra Modi · Donald Trump and

Narendra Modi is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Donald Trump and.

Price history

14¢ current

+12¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 23, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet (including phone calls) before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Narendra Modi

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Vladimir Putin 14¢

Range

1¢-14¢

Family volume

$980

Identifier

KXTRUMPMEET-26MAY-NMOD

May 28, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

19¢

Spread

24h volume

$71

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · Donald Trump and

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$980

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 19¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢225
12¢25
10¢50
7¢15
2¢196
AskSize
19¢110
20¢42
21¢50
75¢4
82¢51

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet (including phone calls) before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPMEET-26MAY-NMOD

SF Signal
SF Index
22477.68
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

7

Overround

-0.3%

LAS

0.42

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7
Overround
-0.3%
LAS
0.42

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.