SimpleFunctions

1160-1199 · Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026

1160-1199 is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?.

Open on PolymarketView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

1¢ current

−11¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 23, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome

1160-1199

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

800-839 4¢

Range

0¢-4¢

Family volume

$1.7M

Identifier

0x2089a758...40e4

May 23, 2026, 7:56 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 23, 2026, 7:56 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

1¢

Ask

1¢

Spread

0¢

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$1.7M

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 1¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
100¢1.1K
100¢1.0K
100¢3.3K
0¢16K
0¢1.3K
0¢900
0¢3.0K
AskSize
2¢50
2¢1.0K
2¢50
2¢100
2¢1.0K
100¢1.3K
100¢42
100¢15

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x2089a758…40e4

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1.7M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

800-839 4¢

Current share

4%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

800-839

polymarket · 0x11a78aebb5a769ff8ac6b2cb61b4d5138c4de9aa6e398197ab9d1d37a3886db9

4¢
$70K$10K0.0

1200-1239

polymarket · 0xfba701c86ac18bd4146c803f304290c881d1e89ff69307d359538ee6d519e611

1¢
$76K$5K—

1160-1199

polymarket · 0x2089a75814ea1885faaa9ac9687627035967f780e362dcddfb5438fb842040e4

1¢
$73K$2K—

780-799

polymarket · 0x204594f80ea51049f285bf770c43864b1f966d12c308cefa4d26c2a8f9f64196

1¢
$68K$8K—

2000+

polymarket · 0x4d7130ae6dd22cc177904f0611688f398e5db89f988b5f3b897c8fc2ab0985e7

0¢
$322K$479—

640-659

polymarket · 0xab086d9aa51ae37e419c8f221f864efec092c0b795957da0b1e9562a46392878

0¢
$149K$66K—

1400-1439

polymarket · 0x964d895e4f821a1b28cb4037c916deed74df33f8de63dfa9fb957b0b900efe3a

0¢
$116K$16K—

1520-1559

polymarket · 0xa455ffadd4eff9e49f7a13e20ba81323ebc6d85709a5de9293441731973dae9c

0¢
$116K$0—

1320-1359

polymarket · 0x43f22f2765ed31f7f53bc29e916640f47fe1b9396a91a5ec5b77e40b39889321

0¢
$108K$14K—

1240-1279

polymarket · 0x77132e624d83299c8d2b3f00dc524cb5e2d740a46488338db0a1b27bc8172ca7

0¢
$91K$8K—

660-679

polymarket · 0x9e9870ea4af5f0cb8a225aecfdec5f36b7fc9823391aef66fe07a2267e2eb6fa

0¢
$86K$21K—

1280-1319

polymarket · 0x1802354c139a09231f1c9aea759d5a52b8476af3bce72c29bacd8b69e238734c

0¢
$81K$995—

1360-1399

polymarket · 0x1e5933ab0cdbc89baeb135ea71444d8503279d3cf052d563fac1e3aee6372b76

0¢
$79K$17K—

1920-1999

polymarket · 0x5bf0baa07047a4775f87ee54fb79fa03c4b1235254a5350adb288c18a1f47401

0¢
$78K$0—

1480-1519

polymarket · 0xc7ae6dcfbe1eaadfa335e936ecf9dae26904c65e0e45b43e92a5c4b0367546db

0¢
$78K$3K—

1440-1479

polymarket · 0x8b8802585a8bb89846db569d51369d5cc2896e32fc6b7fce4237b7b2971d219a

0¢
$73K$0—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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Prediction Market Index

Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.

Market Screener

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Event Probability API

Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.

Realtime Data API

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Hedging Workflows

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.