Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

The Yes price has collapsed 21% over seven days to 37¢, suggesting declining market confidence in Burnley's relegation despite the club's recent struggles, though the extreme 1555% implied yield on Yes reflects the binary nature of last-place finishes rather than genuine edge. With only 40 days until resolution and $477k open interest against a modest $45k daily volume, the 19¢ spread indicates thin liquidity that could amplify price swings as the 2025-26 season progresses and actual standings become clearer. The 518% realized volatility and 2.0 Cliff Risk Index signal this market experiences sharp directional moves, likely driven by Burnley's weekly match results and injury/transfer news rather than fundamental reassessment of their survival odds.

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in last place in the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in last place in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in last place in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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