Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
This contract is priced at 51¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 50¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x0cedf9a7…2fa8
Market snapshot
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET. The displayed quote is 51¢ from the latest venue quote. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 11:04 AM UTC.
Outcome
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
51¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 12, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 11:04 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0x0cedf9a754431d6652394373d666319286f45a2d6eb06440d700d2ce7d642fa8. Family volume: —.
Price history
51¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 51¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 12, 2026
Identifier
0x0cedf9a7…2fa8
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET 51¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 51% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.