Will the Gedeo People’s Democratic Party (GPDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$9K
Best sibling
Prosperity 95¢
Ticker
0x225f191f…1b36
Market snapshot
GPDP in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will the Gedeo People’s Democratic Party (GPDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC.
Outcome
GPDP
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
2¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 1, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
5 outcomes · Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
Quote range
1¢-95¢
Family leader
Prosperity 95¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0x225f191ffe29b5ac374889f501fe0e67aabfd8edcc726bcb82bc8c275a931b36. Family volume: $9K.
Price history
2¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 3¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
0x225f191f…1b36
Event family
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Prosperity 95¢
Current share
20%
GPDP
polymarket · 0x225f191ffe29b5ac374889f501fe0e67aabfd8edcc726bcb82bc8c275a931b36
Prosperity
polymarket · 0xba01b6ad2f090ea29936617f0209ad7f97ad73dd61bfc100632a61618f856801
NaMA
polymarket · 0x21e7def767b27f5df6ac8560147836035a489eff143c94bd9200e30bf348c235
TPLF
polymarket · 0x680550d371fd60517dfdb3bf98a844822cdf6fc79c58f583624f36b7d8995d26
EZEMA
polymarket · 0xfd27802245e48c03618d9abb8f44d6cda5a6ef09780b9b1b9e12fdf3726cd669
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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