Eurovision Winner 2026
This contract is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$201K
Best sibling
Greece 22¢
Ticker
KXEUROVISION-26-FIN
Market snapshot
Finland in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Eurovision Winner 2026. The displayed quote is 47¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $47K. In the Eurovision Winner 2026 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Finland
Family rank
#1 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
47¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$47K
Family context
16 outcomes · Eurovision Winner 2026
Quote range
1¢-46¢
Family leader
Finland 46¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXEUROVISION-26-FIN. Family volume: $201K.
Price history
47¢ current
+11¢Orderbook snapshot
46 / 47¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Finland wins the Eurovision Song Contest, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXEUROVISION-26-FIN
Event family
Eurovision Winner 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$201K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Finland 46¢
Current share
23%
Finland
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-FIN
Greece
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-GRE
Denmark
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-DEN
France
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-FRA
Romania
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-ROM
Australia
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-AUS
Israel
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-ISR
Ukraine
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-UKR
Italy
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-ITA
Malta
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-MAL
Sweden
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-SWE
Norway
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-NOR
Albania
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-ALB
Cyprus
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-CYR
Armenia
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-ARM
Austria
kalshi · KXEUROVISION-26-AUST
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 47% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.