SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 10, 20261 days left

Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$548 volume
$7K liquidity
85% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$642

Best sibling

O/U 4.5 21¢

Ticker

0x237d1ad8…1572

Market snapshot

Real Salt Lake (-2.5) in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5). The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $548. In the FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets family, this outcome ranks #9 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Real Salt Lake (-2.5)

Family rank

#9 of 9

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 10, 2026

24h volume

$548

Family context

9 outcomes · FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets

Quote range

5¢-83¢

Family leader

O/U 1.5 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0x237d1ad860f20e66c1d53e950b1678f3b9b2b1a2f14a2e685edcba0f54d51572. Family volume: $642.

Price history

5¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 6¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.4K
4¢5.5K
3¢5.5K
2¢232
AskSize
6¢1.1K
7¢186
8¢361
10¢91
11¢720
14¢21
15¢11
20¢19

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for May 9 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Dallas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 10, 2026

Identifier

0x237d1ad8…1572

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

19

VR

0.18

IAR

0.8/h

Overround

2.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

19
VR
0.18
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
2.2%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Technicalguide

Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook

Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index