Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Polymarket, closing June 27, 2026.

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23¢
Bid/Ask 21/24¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $14,720.172·Closes Jun 27, 2026·66d remaining
0x9da323e862ca9e583ae67a5130c8c79960cf173e7d76165cefd4ecd7f9333b90
7-day price85 snapshots · 5 regime
25¢23¢ current
Apr 820¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1861.6%
IY (No) 166.1%
Adj IY 1619%
CRI 3
RV 256%
VR 0.56
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1861.6%
IY (No)166.1%
Adj IY1619%
CRI3
RV256%
VR0.56
IAR0.3/h
Overround0.0%
LAS0.13

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:43:50 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x9da323e862ca9e583ae67a5130c8c79960cf173e7d76165cefd4ecd7f9333b90 yes 100

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