Michael Olise · FIFA World Cup: Most Assists
Michael Olise is priced at 25¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 38¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside FIFA World Cup: Most Assists.
Price history
25¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who completed more passes during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Michael Olise
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Rodrigo De Paul 39¢
Range
17¢-39¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
0x82d45758...5c68
May 25, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
38¢
Reported volume
$337
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · FIFA World Cup: Most Assists
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who completed more passes during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
0x82d45758…5c68
Event family
FIFA World Cup: Most Assists.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Rodrigo De Paul 39¢
Current share
20%
Rodrigo De Paul
polymarket · 0xd4398776f1aeaf0f2777772a0b3c10de9b6128d1c97715be0738cb7ad1e9372b
Kevin De Bruyne
polymarket · 0xc9a2d79e6e68e3c71bb19d7ca43bfed7745a01ba5e5293d11ee7cbb66235fd2c
Florian Wirtz
polymarket · 0xa8c1e05e2577a7fadcec029684b475284989b778fd9c5fcc18ea5f7ea8a40ab8
Eldor Shomurodov
polymarket · 0x854ccafa223fa2fc84e8415d7fbe577219d26c4d3c8acbc0d5fe375d619e27c2
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
polymarket · 0xfb4bdd6054941d22641864bc39fa8531093e5a336687594d2547629670b44712
Liberato Cacace
polymarket · 0x013197e476509c978f1f20a241b581cd7891d281285d4edf4aefebf77f04e3e4
Cédric Bakambu
polymarket · 0x0f1014bf857d302f504e24631841af5f3447fbe203ef7c89c78e01b032d49279
Gonzalo Plata
polymarket · 0x1005a6a3c4bc556307ad4c9179195693489f61243dbd0be8f57e1bc9b07b7392
Ismaïla Sarr
polymarket · 0x21d1268e9a749236ccccddc8504c7a623874260b01532913ba0071fc4b930a5d
Adam Hložek
polymarket · 0x23911d660befb6b6217cd11e5930533ecefd49a691935dae56d978aa0b0c82b9
Mehdi Taremi
polymarket · 0x2a721db80e89cb5aac99a15fbc0bba5e47e29552f3760f91edbb8d244d343263
Bukayo Saka
polymarket · 0x64c073a3af2b1db584c3b2f95c9dc8cd9e2d9cf08f1acfe4a0716c4889a26998
Michael Olise
polymarket · 0x82d457585e0d9adb37ed33cfcc630a896a962077c098ddaf40f2a5a89cdb5c68
Lamine Yamal
polymarket · 0x581f25d832bf07ce93cd536b8e80c145d65caa386d52717833dcc7f0a070873d
Xavi Simons
polymarket · 0x155f79050b6b2b71e47c9be33b45f08c93eca73431a8e8e628dab894cadc5533
Bruno Fernandes
polymarket · 0xa6c0e100b2270447d56d3d50b580adc65ca5731e8a26098cddbac1334723c124
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.