Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
This contract is priced at 20¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 19¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$69K
Best sibling
Alexandra Van Cleef 1¢
Ticker
0xfcdd3c3c…a3b6
Market snapshot
Dan Bilzerian in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $990. In the FL-06 Republican Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Dan Bilzerian
Family rank
#2 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
20¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Aug 18, 2026
24h volume
$990
Family context
7 outcomes · FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-78¢
Family leader
Randy Fine 78¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: 0xfcdd3c3c0b496d86b67f302333ca2bcf80fa5258c1b8d85922907815be7ea3b6. Family volume: $69K.
Price history
20¢ current
−4¢Orderbook snapshot
19 / 21¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
0xfcdd3c3c…a3b6
Event family
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$69K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Randy Fine 78¢
Current share
27%
Dan Bilzerian
polymarket · 0xfcdd3c3c0b496d86b67f302333ca2bcf80fa5258c1b8d85922907815be7ea3b6
Alexandra Van Cleef
polymarket · 0xd2a7bd6747a943a665cca0008a60199826c6af4a2c7bc5f3b36a3eb124b4808e
Ernest Audino
polymarket · 0x8077ecdf08694f6d9c25c580c2c3e5e2b85bedda4888086332cac2170f7aebcd
Randy Fine
polymarket · 0x66be8921960aacc7b1cfd714a1cefd62a658dcb11f31430fa3d454b59cdc5a5c
Charles Gambaro
polymarket · 0x5653870deef4e48ec63df5dcc358a51941d6673fa904374e5c1e53f5ab37a242
Aaron Baker
polymarket · 0x9fe6426a516aca90fc11d56ee4a0e43d911e2b999d29f1b0eda1e27d724c8b2c
Joshua Vasquez
polymarket · 0x423f7bf6c3fdedd0affa7252fc0d2c448a8fad719c1eb022a02f15c5996596eb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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