SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 18, 2026101 days left

Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

This contract is priced at 48¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 44¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

48¢
$8K volume
$23K liquidity
44% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$19K

Best sibling

Oliver Adams Larkin 24¢

Ticker

0x729e6b80…49b8

Market snapshot

Jared Moskowitz in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?. The displayed quote is 48¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $44. In the FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Jared Moskowitz

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

48¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 18, 2026

24h volume

$44

Family context

2 outcomes · FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

24¢-48¢

Family leader

Jared Moskowitz 48¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: 0x729e6b80e055d18a38a801a195a668488cc35afe00c47bf403d83718a94649b8. Family volume: $19K.

Price history

48¢ current

19¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

44 / 52¢

Polymarket
8¢ spread
BidSize
44¢40
29¢310
26¢462
24¢625
21¢857
20¢5
19¢1.9K
18¢3.0K
AskSize
52¢172
53¢810
55¢1.1K
56¢8
69¢290
72¢429
74¢577
75¢800

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Identifier

0x729e6b80…49b8

Event family

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$19K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Jared Moskowitz 48¢

Current share

44%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

392.9%

IY (No)

334.7%

Adj IY

327%

CRI

1

RV

1769%

VR

7.74

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

392.9%
334.7%
Adj IY
327%
1
RV
1769%
VR
7.74
IAR
4.7/h
LAS
0.17

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