Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
This contract is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$149K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x176e8401…f436
Market snapshot
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $6K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
14¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$6K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: 0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436. Family volume: $149K.
Price history
14¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x176e8401…f436
Event family
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$149K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027 14¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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