What is the current probability for "Game 2: Orlando at Detroit Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 78¢ (78% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Game 2: Orlando at Detroit Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 764.3% and 8566.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Game 2: Orlando at Detroit Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Game 2: Orlando at Detroit Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 78% probability that Game 2: Orlando at Detroit Winner?. This contract trades at 78¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $26.64 in 24-hour volume and open interest, combined with a wide 30¢ spread that suggests thin order books on both sides.

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78¢

Bid/Ask 77/78¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $990,631.23·OI $987,316.52·Closes May 6, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBAGAME-26APR22ORLDET-DET

7-day price78 snapshots · 58 regime

79¢77¢ current

Apr 1855¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $26.64 in 24-hour volume and open interest, combined with a wide 30¢ spread that suggests thin order books on both sides. The 85¢ price implies Detroit has an 85% win probability, yet the implied yield on the No side reaches an unusual 2574.2%, indicating severe mispricing or that the market may be struggling to attract liquidity on the underdog bet. With 18 days to expiration and zero price movement over the past week, this appears to be a dead or abandoned market with minimal trading activity.

Resolution rules

If Detroit wins the Game 2: Orlando at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 764.3%

IY (No) 8566.1%

Adj IY 4227%

CRI 3

LAS 0.01

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	764.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	8566.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4227%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/22/2026, 4:32:51 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 4:38:24 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAGAME-26APR22ORLDET-DET yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →