SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 26, 202614 days left

Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L Winner?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

19¢
$3.0M volume
$2.9M liquidity
95% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$3.2M

Best sibling

Oklahoma City 81¢

Ticker

KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL

Market snapshot

Los Angeles L in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L Winner?. The displayed quote is 19¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2.5M. In the Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

Los Angeles L

Family rank

#2 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

19¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 26, 2026

24h volume

$2.5M

Family context

2 outcomes · Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L Winner

Quote range

18¢-81¢

Family leader

Oklahoma City 81¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL. Family volume: $3.2M.

Price history

19¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 10, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 19¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
18¢95K
17¢11K
16¢613K
15¢92K
14¢17K
AskSize
19¢8.2M
20¢3.9M
21¢287K
22¢54
23¢3.3K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Los Angeles L wins the Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 26, 2026

Identifier

KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL

SF Signal
SF Index
10960.62
Regime
neutral

Event family

Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3.2M

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Oklahoma City 81¢

Current share

78%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11605.9%

IY (No)

559.2%

Adj IY

10961%

CRI

5

RV

630%

VR

0.77

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11605.9%
559.2%
Adj IY
10961%
5
RV
630%
VR
0.77
IAR
1.7/h
LAS
0.06

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.