NBA Game Predictions
Leader sits at 59% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 41%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner?: San Antonio
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
41¢
Oklahoma City at San Antonio
Spread
18pp
contested
24h volume
$2.6M
liquid
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
13 days
Venue
Kalshi
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner
Analysis
These NBA Game 6 matchups represent market expectations for two potential playoff series-deciding contests. The 50% aggregated probability reflects uncertainty around outcomes that depend on team performance, injury status, and recent form. San Antonio appears favored as a 65¢ contract at Minnesota, while Detroit shows as an underdog at 38¢ against Cleveland. The probabilities would shift based on updated injury reports, performance in earlier series games, and betting volume changes as games approach. These contracts will resolve once each Game 6 concludes, with the winner determined by final score.
- ›San Antonio contract trading at 65¢ indicates market consensus favoring them over Minnesota, with significantly higher 24-hour volume ($523k) on the San Antonio side
- ›Detroit trading at 38¢ against Cleveland shows clear underdog positioning, with Cleveland holding 61¢ and higher relative trading volume
- ›The 24-hour volume totals ($617k for Minnesota, $523k for San Antonio, $447k for Detroit, $344k for Cleveland) demonstrate active trader engagement but unequal distribution across contracts
- ›Resolution dates depend on series progression—these Game 6 contracts only matter if series reach 3-3 before the decisive game
- ›Injury status of key rotation players and performance trends from earlier series games will create probability shifts before these games are played
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (59% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In nba
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.