SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 26, 202615 days left

Game 5: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$686K volume
$527K liquidity
93% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$738K

Best sibling

San Antonio 76¢

Ticker

KXNBAGAME-26MAY12MINSAS-MIN

Market snapshot

Minnesota in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Game 5: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner?. The displayed quote is 24¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $596K. In the Game 5: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

Minnesota

Family rank

#2 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

24¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 26, 2026

24h volume

$596K

Family context

2 outcomes · Game 5: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner

Quote range

23¢-76¢

Family leader

San Antonio 76¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXNBAGAME-26MAY12MINSAS-MIN. Family volume: $738K.

Price history

24¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 7, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 24¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
23¢44K
22¢47K
21¢282K
20¢256K
19¢12K
AskSize
24¢1.3M
25¢683K
26¢3.8K
27¢2.8K
28¢2.9K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Minnesota wins the Game 5: Minnesota at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 26, 2026

Identifier

KXNBAGAME-26MAY12MINSAS-MIN

SF Signal
SF Index
7827.49
Regime
neutral

Event family

Game 5: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$738K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

San Antonio 76¢

Current share

80%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8183.5%

IY (No)

730.1%

Adj IY

7827%

CRI

3

RV

574%

VR

0.72

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8183.5%
730.1%
Adj IY
7827%
3
RV
574%
VR
0.72
IAR
1.6/h
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.