SimpleFunctions

Golden State wins by over 5.5 points

Golden State wins by over 5.5 points is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

37¢ current

+22¢
20¢30¢40¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Golden State wins the Indiana vs Golden State women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 by more than 5.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Golden State wins by over 5.5 points

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$263

Identifier

KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY28INDGS-GS6

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 56m ago

Implied probability

37¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 56m ago

Bid

36¢

Ask

37¢

Spread

24h volume

$263

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$263

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 37¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
36¢2.0K
35¢812
34¢518
33¢600
32¢822
AskSize
37¢146
38¢657
39¢1.0K
40¢2.8K
42¢280

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Golden State wins the Indiana vs Golden State women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 by more than 5.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY28INDGS-GS6

SF Signal
SF Index
4542.13
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$263

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Golden State wins by over 5.5 points 37¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4542.1%

IY (No)

1437.2%

Adj IY

4542%

CRI

2

RV

490%

VR

0.63

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4542.1%
1437.2%
Adj IY
4542%
2
RV
490%
VR
0.63
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
1.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.