June 30 · GPT-5.6 released by
June 30 is priced at 74¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 65¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside GPT-5.6 released by...?.
Price history
74¢ current
−12¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
June 30
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
July 31 71¢
Range
4¢-71¢
Family volume
$139K
Identifier
0xe69b388e...7224
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
65¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · GPT-5.6 released by...?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$139K
Orderbook snapshot
65 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xe69b388e…7224
Event family
GPT-5.6 released by.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$139K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
July 31 71¢
Current share
15%
July 31
polymarket · 0xadc76ee95ed51195ce46e91570ef08e6bd7002cb8929bc81de4b64c4f16852e4
June 30
polymarket · 0xe69b388ee2691abc5a2b4d66d9212053782c88f30e26f3b791111e562d327224
June 15
polymarket · 0x1ff94ce9a874202523ac828138d0a2d5ffc2f3899fccbda5505909c51df76277
June 8
polymarket · 0x2dfe124d238e2e35733558dfbeb9ca0bb54768d3a19a3cca08b9d0d8c91d8c60
June 5
polymarket · 0x45eee5d7a79040e420462e96c7a9a1ae542170a98c3407d241ecf52938ffd604
May 31
polymarket · 0xe1a9dc17214a900fab98a6cf77ec97e86cc5e3896320ad85000f5f506ac218c2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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