↑ $6.50 · GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31
↑ $6.50 is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 10 inside GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?.
Price history
11¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Outcome
↑ $6.50
Rank
#5 of 10
Leader
↑ $6.00 42¢
Range
2¢-42¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
0xbab8c99a...4d59
May 28, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$318
Family rank
#5 of 10
10 outcomes · GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0xbab8c99a…4d59
Event family
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
↑ $6.00 42¢
Current share
9%
↑ $6.00
polymarket · 0x437f6d8c9c801fe3776a483cadd481195685b49e2ebe2fc7c593016a60b22865
↓ $5.00
polymarket · 0xb52852fc3d600bc2a2365605b16e394d9bdd7cbd10b767bfef06d498cc165a21
↓ $4.75
polymarket · 0x64c605cdbb7a43863edea7c3c23707e308531c687b2fc83c05bcc5913448fca4
↓ $4.50
polymarket · 0x3bc4e4f7de8b44e27a344d2351a7231098db5b94b2d166245fc059040820061f
↑ $6.50
polymarket · 0xbab8c99a02532ad5923660da8877a55ab6f6e9976fe0e2f3be0b523eecc74d59
↓ $3.75
polymarket · 0x20f720ddd0c621932fb8b0f167eb79460e2f8f84ed266c92ae9375c5e1135916
↓ $3.50
polymarket · 0x93c37973c2484a074f9f2d0844541789d0434ba4fd38414fc4f4c79011df4233
↓ $4.00
polymarket · 0xcd5b7381ea9c2642330e982184f77b3073eb0a54841ba49b8e2b391df65b4ab5
↓ $4.25
polymarket · 0x40f129fa002ef901998a97c89b17dc030220ee0c30241f2551a2bbabccb371b8
↓ $3.00
polymarket · 0x5e10d33734ad99254e307ecb4b5ddf750a2ace7e1083b5aad180a810340c5985
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Resolution Ambiguity Score: Quantifying Rule-Risk Per Market
A heuristic 0-10 score for the rule risk on a prediction market, based on edge case count, venue dispute history, and source-of-truth specificity. The pre-trade discipline that catches Polymarket UMA disputes and Kalshi rule-mismatches before they catch you.
Greenblatt's Spinoff Playbook on Polymarket: Why Child Contracts Mis-Reprice After Parent Resolution
Joel Greenblatt made 50% gross by buying spinoffs that index funds were forced to dump. The same forced-seller mechanic now appears on Polymarket whenever a parent market resolves and dozens of child contracts have to reprice in sequence — measurable in single-digit minutes against wire reports.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 11% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.