GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?
Leader sits at 50% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 37%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
↑ $6.00
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
37¢
↓ $5.00
Spread
13pp
contested
24h volume
$843
thin orderbook
Closes
May 31, 2026
3 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↑ $6.50
0xbab8c9…4d59
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↓ $4.75
0x64c605…fca4
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↓ $3.50
0x93c379…4233
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↑ $6.00
0x437f6d…2865
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↓ $4.00
0xcd5b73…4ab5
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↓ $3.75
0x20f720…5916
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↓ $4.25
0x40f129…71b8
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↓ $5.00
0xb52852…5a21
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?: ↓ $4.50
0x3bc4e4…061f
What moved the line
- May 27↓ $4.75↑34pp29→63¢ · Polymarket
- May 26↑ $6.00↓26pp61→35¢ · Polymarket
- May 24↑ $6.00↓25pp92→67¢ · Polymarket
- May 25↓ $4.75↓24pp47→23¢ · Polymarket
- May 27↑ $6.00↓16pp35→19¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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