Will between 13 and 15 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 32¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$5K
Best sibling
22–24 45¢
Ticker
0x239acfc5…373f
Market snapshot
13–15 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will between 13 and 15 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $995. In the How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #4 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
13–15
Family rank
#4 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
17¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$995
Family context
5 outcomes · How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?
Quote range
11¢-46¢
Family leader
19–21 46¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: 0x239acfc5384ad557b245a3de79b4ab88190d87c1060ac9b17041c79acfb4373f. Family volume: $5K.
Price history
17¢ current
+11¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 32¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot. Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists. Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. All officially published Billboard 200 Albums charts will be treated as final. Revisions made after the release of a Billboard 200 album chart will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart, published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ and through other official Billboard channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting on albums that reached number 1 on the Billboard 200 within this market's timeframe may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x239acfc5…373f
Event family
How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
19–21 46¢
Current share
18%
13–15
polymarket · 0x239acfc5384ad557b245a3de79b4ab88190d87c1060ac9b17041c79acfb4373f
22–24
polymarket · 0x4f26d84fc41bd0f068e3fdff798615562b174e64cd05d2b183e224434dad3c3a
25+
polymarket · 0x41f0c4f4ee8770ad40066bbf0b90b21de827ca61241f9ca78dca6a42299e0cfd
16–18
polymarket · 0x1b17d72c56689f5e71180b3979c337d9bb9fe48de33490064309598eda149a3d
19–21
polymarket · 0xb27796a202576774c5e6217d84b853a7e48a35b63b4f6c9170c86e51d17cfab7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
cultural
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