SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will between 22 and 24 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?

This contract is priced at 45¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 80¢ spread.

Implied probability

45¢
$3K volume
$17 liquidity
63% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$5K

Best sibling

13–15 18¢

Ticker

0x4f26d84f…3c3a

Market snapshot

22–24 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will between 22 and 24 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?. The displayed quote is 45¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $3K. In the How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

22–24

Family rank

#1 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

45¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$3K

Family context

5 outcomes · How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

Quote range

11¢-46¢

Family leader

22–24 46¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: 0x4f26d84fc41bd0f068e3fdff798615562b174e64cd05d2b183e224434dad3c3a. Family volume: $5K.

Price history

45¢ current

+20¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 21, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 85¢

Polymarket
80¢ spread
BidSize
5¢35
AskSize
85¢22
86¢38
93¢30
94¢9
95¢75
99¢15

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot. Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists. Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. All officially published Billboard 200 Albums charts will be treated as final. Revisions made after the release of a Billboard 200 album chart will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart, published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ and through other official Billboard channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting on albums that reached number 1 on the Billboard 200 within this market's timeframe may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x4f26d84f…3c3a

Event family

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$5K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

22–24 46¢

Current share

63%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

181.7%

IY (No)

131.9%

Adj IY

182%

CRI

1

RV

1416%

VR

10.18

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

181.7%
131.9%
Adj IY
182%
1
RV
1416%
VR
10.18
IAR
4.6/h
Overround
0.7%

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