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KalshiMay 7, 20264 days left

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending May 2, 2026?

This contract is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 15¢ spread.

Implied probability

79¢
$385 volume
$385 liquidity
52% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$744

Best sibling

At least 210000 24¢

Ticker

KXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26MAY07-195000

Price history

79¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 30, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

63 / 78¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
63¢1
62¢10
61¢1
60¢27
55¢500
AskSize
78¢15
79¢79
89¢200
90¢500
93¢1.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If there are at least 195000 initial jobless claims for the week ending May 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 7, 2026

Identifier

KXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26MAY07-195000

Event family

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending May 2, 2026?: At least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$744

Outcomes

10

Highest price

At least 180000 82¢

Current share

12%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.60

IAR

1.7/h

Overround

5.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.60
IAR
1.7/h
Overround
5.4%

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