Above 53 · How many Senators vote to confirm as Director of National Intelligence?: Above
Above 53 is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 82¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside How many Senators vote to confirm as Director of National Intelligence?: Above.
Price history
81¢ current
+31¢Contract brief
If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Jay Clayton to Director of National Intelligence after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 53, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 53
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Above 53 82¢
Range
31¢-82¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXCLAYTONCOUNT-27-T53
Jun 19, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
82¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · How many Senators vote to confirm as Director of National Intelligence?: Above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
82 / 87¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Jay Clayton to Director of National Intelligence after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 53, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXCLAYTONCOUNT-27-T53
Event family
How many Senators vote to confirm as Director of National Intelligence?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Above 53 82¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.