SimpleFunctions

Exactly 3 songs · How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly

Exactly 3 songs is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly.

Price history

16¢ current

+13¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 21, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Drake has exactly 3 songs in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Exactly 3 songs

Rank

#2 of 11

Leader

Exactly 4 songs 64¢

Range

1¢-64¢

Family volume

$102K

Identifier

KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-3

May 28, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

16¢

Spread

24h volume

$23K

Family rank

#2 of 11

11 outcomes · How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly

Closes

Jun 6, 2026

Family volume

$102K

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 16¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
15¢98
14¢114
13¢5
12¢100
8¢24
AskSize
16¢567
17¢335
19¢83
20¢18
21¢250

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Drake has exactly 3 songs in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 6, 2026

Identifier

KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-3

SF Signal
SF Index
21868.99
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

23431.9%

IY (No)

729.7%

Adj IY

21869%

CRI

6

RV

1363%

VR

1.55

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

23431.9%
729.7%
Adj IY
21869%
6
RV
1363%
VR
1.55
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.07

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.