Exactly 4 songs · How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly
Exactly 4 songs is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 11 inside How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly.
Price history
64¢ current
+62¢Contract brief
If Drake has exactly 4 songs in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Exactly 4 songs
Rank
#1 of 11
Leader
Exactly 4 songs 64¢
Range
1¢-64¢
Family volume
$102K
Identifier
KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-4
May 28, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
65¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$17K
Family rank
#1 of 11
11 outcomes · How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Family volume
$102K
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 65¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Drake has exactly 4 songs in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-4
Event family
How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$102K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Exactly 4 songs 64¢
Current share
16%
Exactly 4 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-4
Exactly 3 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-3
Exactly 5 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-5
Exactly 2 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-2
Exactly 6 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-6
Exactly 9 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-9
Exactly 1 song
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-1
Exactly 8 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-8
Exactly 10 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-10
Exactly 7 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-7
Exactly 0 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis
Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 64% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.