Exactly 5 songs · How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly
Exactly 5 songs is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly.
Price history
13¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Drake has exactly 5 songs in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Exactly 5 songs
Rank
#2 of 11
Leader
Exactly 4 songs 64¢
Range
1¢-64¢
Family volume
$102K
Identifier
KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-5
May 28, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$16K
Family rank
#2 of 11
11 outcomes · How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Family volume
$102K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Drake has exactly 5 songs in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-5
Event family
How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of Jun 6, 2026?: Exactly.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$102K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Exactly 4 songs 64¢
Current share
16%
Exactly 4 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-4
Exactly 3 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-3
Exactly 5 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-5
Exactly 2 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-2
Exactly 6 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-6
Exactly 9 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-9
Exactly 1 song
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-1
Exactly 8 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-8
Exactly 10 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-10
Exactly 7 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-7
Exactly 0 songs
kalshi · KXTOPBBSPOTSDRA-26JUN06-0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.