Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
This contract is priced at 18¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 14¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$41K
Best sibling
350k–375k 11¢
Ticker
0xb98ca5f2…d293
Market snapshot
400k–425k in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $35. In the How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
400k–425k
Family rank
#3 of 9
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
18¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
24h volume
$35
Family context
9 outcomes · How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
Quote range
3¢-37¢
Family leader
475k+ 37¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Venue identifier: 0xb98ca5f27a851fd490082e9d3f3058e9a8cf0266ec207854395693015acbd293. Family volume: $41K.
Price history
18¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
14 / 22¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xb98ca5f2…d293
Event family
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
475k+ 37¢
Current share
19%
400k–425k
polymarket · 0xb98ca5f27a851fd490082e9d3f3058e9a8cf0266ec207854395693015acbd293
350k–375k
polymarket · 0x178788be19cc27c495bb709cfbf582649e51b6bc11b3fa42ac221503f6b7e94b
<300k
polymarket · 0x7a2b0abaf8be4d359db7845c8b3c0358460f62bcecbf97f1093e97cf81ec9b4a
425k–450k
polymarket · 0x3be2b05f91f41cea6c5bd803b4c456ca5339a38a8c2bb19f71d38ef44636b0da
375k–400k
polymarket · 0x13150beedcc4b60c60580eec5f87bbb3092995cd893aadb709425e097af82df4
475k+
polymarket · 0x4926438a8bcd51e07989a94a7efafff86a0c66101a5f0f51dc0a252425c41b4b
325k–350k
polymarket · 0x87f093341ab2438f8e1b7ea9e4a18e0aae873ebfb838cc55039e500b13109ad9
450k–475k
polymarket · 0x2925e32df6f1cc297aa7f060aea103815ae0405926cd12ba9f244bfdface818c
300k–325k
polymarket · 0x03775189234c3abdb3c6e746c29f70d74ab924fba407f79173a88252a2c24b60
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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