Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
This contract is priced at 23¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 22¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$202K
Best sibling
June 30 8¢
Ticker
0xf59fe744…dfb2
Market snapshot
December 31 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?. The displayed quote is 23¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $133K. In the Insurrection Act invoked by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
December 31
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
23¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$133K
Family context
2 outcomes · Insurrection Act invoked by...?
Quote range
8¢-23¢
Family leader
December 31 23¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: 0xf59fe744e8f73124ccd8b351b101c51cd29bb449dab73b83ed74d05603b0dfb2. Family volume: $202K.
Price history
23¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
22 / 23¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xf59fe744…dfb2
Event family
Insurrection Act invoked by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$202K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31 23¢
Current share
65%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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