Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$202K
Best sibling
December 31 23¢
Ticker
0xf2982d80…25d3
Market snapshot
June 30 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $70K. In the Insurrection Act invoked by...? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
June 30
Family rank
#2 of 2
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
8¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$70K
Family context
2 outcomes · Insurrection Act invoked by...?
Quote range
8¢-23¢
Family leader
December 31 23¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago
Venue identifier: 0xf2982d808c8b0c88ed7d1fd22fb55993b0d1a0f738d202b0a8c2d6805b7125d3. Family volume: $202K.
Price history
8¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
7 / 9¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xf2982d80…25d3
Event family
Insurrection Act invoked by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$202K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31 23¢
Current share
35%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Trump Foreign Policy 2026: Latin America, Venezuela, and What Prediction Markets Are Pricing In
How Trump’s 2026 foreign policy toward Latin America and Venezuela is reshaping sanctions, migration, trade, and military risk—and what prediction markets are pricing in.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 8% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.