What is the current probability for "Inter vs Parma Calcio Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 80¢ (80% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 17, 2026. 19 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Inter vs Parma Calcio Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.6% and 7085.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Inter vs Parma Calcio Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Inter vs Parma Calcio Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 80% probability that Inter vs Parma Calcio Winner?. This contract trades at 80¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026.

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80¢

Bid/Ask 79/80¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $145.91·OI $806.8·Closes May 17, 2026·19d remaining

KXSERIEAGAME-26MAY03INTPAR-INT

7-day price14 snapshots · 12 regime

79¢79¢ current

Apr 2671¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Inter wins the Inter vs Parma Calcio professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.6%

IY (No) 7085.1%

Adj IY 6902%

CRI 4

RV 70%

VR 0.30

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	7085.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6902%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	70%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.30	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.3/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/28/2026, 9:26:37 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXSERIEAGAME-26MAY03INTPAR-INT yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →