Stripe · IPOs before 2027
Stripe is priced at 9¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 8¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside IPOs before 2027?.
Price history
9¢ current
−41¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
Stripe
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
SpaceX 98¢
Range
2¢-98¢
Family volume
$4.6M
Identifier
0x3189b797...4c83
May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$449
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · IPOs before 2027?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$4.6M
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x3189b797…4c83
Event family
IPOs before 2027.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4.6M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
SpaceX 98¢
Current share
5%
SpaceX
polymarket · 0xc8a898fa8ce2121e3bba1ee52120ed8ab4f8ea7ed5a6dcd9b138fe7b9e454c0b
OpenAI
polymarket · 0x7844ad013088564a11d5d4d3b1766c57ad936a55247f0ae1efe28180d7285af3
Anthropic
polymarket · 0x6522024c060166830e53a48b0db1cab9296601a8539ab005124db5e4bf50a303
Discord
polymarket · 0x48fcbf6bb8eceff817ba48b56211e4f8a4cf6896570d847d8d115e63c3abf36a
Databricks
polymarket · 0xfa0166f81f49ec29802bec6eabd71bd73aa24e65f0681b0071f5d1055ef44776
Mistral AI
polymarket · 0x579100804f34edc384d933b88ff8f403aa79bafd5018bb26f0a89285e1ddff29
Anduril
polymarket · 0xb7a72d5e5e4ad1dd7664fec7b7c3031a66d149d186e9c5180351780eb1323566
Freddie Mac
polymarket · 0xc45eb82393db7afff545c57a151f0cf6b872ca0e3b41a1bae4c17627f37c029b
Applied Intuition
polymarket · 0x76d92e422d9a4c1d9ceeea7445fa709df9df03e45b6372623abec7254caee3a9
Ripple Labs
polymarket · 0x898dadf08cabb75a000ffa5ff913b937c5610d8709c22f0263bd06d03be4a9f7
Fannie Mae
polymarket · 0xb4eafb92f9038d98b9d457cea6ba034a1d362d60e68766749accbc9bc8b73172
Ledger
polymarket · 0x8f1a5e41fced2357f99bc368be49bf0f547705a6259121cd64c30991c8faeed0
Ramp
polymarket · 0x9dd67d7d61b5d2e04f6458d63bd169894ef918dc34e6cdb778707d7e5d47a38f
Celonis
polymarket · 0x48d4aedd222137a244d94e4d1696a526d3638d4ec297e52f703b575982b766fe
Stripe
polymarket · 0x3189b7975e272f59100a897047aca6ee5548d239b8f99294453732081b294c83
Brex
polymarket · 0x62ef6cd583a7301458da4823519fb5b2dc7d236eaa052cccafbec7326a48a02d
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 9% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.