Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$797K
Best sibling
June 30, 2026 4¢
Ticker
0x1fab3506…410f
Market snapshot
December 31, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $425K. In the Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
December 31, 2026
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
11¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$425K
Family context
2 outcomes · Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Quote range
4¢-11¢
Family leader
December 31, 2026 11¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: 0x1fab35067db952ff09d08e47e65c324ab2e06d88762884779e13d437a7b5410f. Family volume: $797K.
Price history
11¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x1fab3506…410f
Event family
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$797K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31, 2026 11¢
Current share
53%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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