SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$373K volume
$40K liquidity
47% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$797K

Best sibling

December 31, 2026 11¢

Ticker

0x96cd1bfd…a3fd

Market snapshot

June 30, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

June 30, 2026

Family rank

#2 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$3K

Family context

2 outcomes · Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Quote range

4¢-11¢

Family leader

December 31, 2026 11¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0x96cd1bfdc9f904198fd559b1a62c0e5c23412672d1c174ebb8d025273577a3fd. Family volume: $797K.

Price history

4¢ current

4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 4¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢200
4¢162
4¢49
4¢364
4¢1.7K
4¢1.3K
2¢100
2¢21
AskSize
4¢2.6K
4¢110
5¢65
5¢77
5¢253
5¢87
7¢6.4K
7¢750

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x96cd1bfd…a3fd

Event family

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$797K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

December 31, 2026 11¢

Current share

47%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

political

Full indicator table

16956.7%
29.4%
Adj IY
8478%
24
LAS
0.00

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