SimpleFunctions
PolymarketOct 31, 2026175 days left

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 32¢ spread.

Implied probability

17¢
$2K volume
$584 liquidity
10% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$19K

Best sibling

No Prison Time 75¢

Ticker

0x12cd8cfb…eae8

Market snapshot

5+ Years in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Jack Doherty Prison Time? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

5+ Years

Family rank

#3 of 4

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

17¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 31, 2026

Reported volume

$2K

Family context

4 outcomes · Jack Doherty Prison Time?

Quote range

10¢-75¢

Family leader

No Prison Time 75¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: 0x12cd8cfbe20dcc0d57853f5f3f54fcf60d1e94279321e92d0fe89262d661eae8. Family volume: $19K.

Price history

17¢ current

+14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 33¢

Polymarket
32¢ spread
BidSize
100¢27
100¢24
100¢100
100¢7
100¢45
100¢10
0¢15K
0¢113
AskSize
33¢60
34¢15
34¢6
34¢15
34¢75
35¢12
37¢11
37¢19

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point. If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Identifier

0x12cd8cfb…eae8

Event family

Jack Doherty Prison Time.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$19K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

No Prison Time 75¢

Current share

10%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1020.3%

IY (No)

42.8%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

5

RV

2409%

VR

10.19

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

1020.3%
42.8%
Adj IY
0%
5
RV
2409%
VR
10.19
IAR
5.1/h
Overround
0.3%
LAS
1.94

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