Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?
This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 32¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$19K
Best sibling
No Prison Time 75¢
Ticker
0x12cd8cfb…eae8
Market snapshot
5+ Years in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Jack Doherty Prison Time? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
5+ Years
Family rank
#3 of 4
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
17¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Oct 31, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
4 outcomes · Jack Doherty Prison Time?
Quote range
10¢-75¢
Family leader
No Prison Time 75¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: 0x12cd8cfbe20dcc0d57853f5f3f54fcf60d1e94279321e92d0fe89262d661eae8. Family volume: $19K.
Price history
17¢ current
+14¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 33¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point. If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 31, 2026
Identifier
0x12cd8cfb…eae8
Event family
Jack Doherty Prison Time.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$19K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
No Prison Time 75¢
Current share
10%
5+ Years
polymarket · 0x12cd8cfbe20dcc0d57853f5f3f54fcf60d1e94279321e92d0fe89262d661eae8
No Prison Time
polymarket · 0xf06de23a5467a2e5d82b40c1d9d63c361612861cf74148071083f28d0372e010
<2 Years
polymarket · 0xd0dc167a8390914eaae948681eb70add44ca08147cae46bb2d1d800bfc11fb73
2-5 Years
polymarket · 0xe631687559fb84616934e96a1c66b4322fac1cf4648b1bb2a72ae8d14d98ea16
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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